EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Rafael Flores Jr.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Published Thursday, September 17, 2026
Kyle Harrison has allowed 10 HR in 20.6 IP over his last 5 starts (4.37 HR/9), against 2.21 on the season — worse lately. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 20.5% barrels, 90.7 mph average exit velocity, 25.6% fly balls across 39 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). Against left-handers this season: 5 HR in 60 AB (0.550 SLG over 67 PA).
THE NUMBERS
rank
2
player id
804668
player name
Rafael Flores Jr.
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
match
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
odds
+650
odds source
market
season hr
9
hr rate per game
0.23
hr in last10
2
hr in last15
3
opposing pitcher
Kyle Harrison
opposing pitcher era
3.77
park factor
84
statcast line
Statcast: 14% barrel rate, 47.7% hard-hit across 135 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
90.6
barrel rate
14
hard hit rate
47.7
batted ball line
38.4% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going up lately — 56% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 50% on the season.
air out rate
0.5
platoon line
Against left-handers this season: 5 HR in 60 AB (0.550 SLG over 67 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
4.37
opposing pitcher hr line
Kyle Harrison has allowed 10 HR in 20.6 IP over his last 5 starts (4.37 HR/9), against 2.21 on the season — worse lately.
line
9 HR this season (0.23/game) · 2 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.