EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Ethan Salas
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately. Over the last 21 days he has allowed 13.3% barrels, 91.1 mph average exit velocity, 15.6% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls). 6 home runs in his last 4 starts (2.52 per nine, against a league average near 1.25).
THE NUMBERS
rank
14
player id
806956
player name
Ethan Salas
team
San Diego Padres
match
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
odds
+950
odds source
market
season hr
2
hr rate per game
0.13
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
2
opposing pitcher
Kevin Gausman
opposing pitcher era
4.63
park factor
105
hr score
40.6
opposing pitcher hr9
2.73
opposing pitcher hr line
Kevin Gausman has allowed 8 HR in 26.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.73 HR/9), against 1.35 on the season — worse lately.
line
2 HR this season (0.13/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.