EDGEAI
MLBhr watch
Ben Williamson
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Published Saturday, October 3, 2026
Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately. 9 home runs in his last 4 starts (3.63 per nine, against a league average near 1.25). Over the last 21 days he has allowed 11.1% barrels, 91.7 mph average exit velocity, 24.4% fly balls across 45 batted balls (league is near 8% barrels, 89 mph, 25% fly balls).
THE NUMBERS
rank
10
player id
810938
player name
Ben Williamson
team
Tampa Bay Rays
match
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
odds
+380
odds source
estimated
season hr
3
hr rate per game
0.03
hr in last10
1
hr in last15
1
opposing pitcher
Gerrit Cole
opposing pitcher era
3.7
park factor
104
statcast line
Statcast: 1.9% barrel rate, 33.2% hard-hit across 286 PA (league is roughly 7.5% and 39%).
hr score
25
barrel rate
1.9
hard hit rate
33.2
batted ball line
13% of his batted balls this season are fly balls (league is near 25%). His batted-ball outs are going down lately — 25% caught in the air over his last 15 games against 38% on the season.
air out rate
0.384
platoon line
Against right-handers this season: 2 HR in 136 AB (0.316 SLG over 153 PA).
opposing pitcher hr9
2.96
opposing pitcher hr line
Gerrit Cole has allowed 9 HR in 27.4 IP over his last 5 starts (2.96 HR/9), against 1.54 on the season — worse lately.
line
3 HR this season (0.03/game) · 1 of last 10 games with a HR
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.