EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Paul Goldschmidt is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Mason Fluharty throws it 49% of the time, and Paul Goldschmidt strikes out 40% of the time against it across 30 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, August 21, 2026

Paul Goldschmidt is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Mason Fluharty throws it 49% of the time, and Paul Goldschmidt strikes out 40% of the time against it across 30 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
502671
player name
Paul Goldschmidt
team
New York Yankees
matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
pitcher name
Mason Fluharty
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.319
own baseline
0.235
k delta
0.084
weighted avg
0.172
mix covered
0.904
detail
Paul Goldschmidt is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the cutter: Mason Fluharty throws it 49% of the time, and Paul Goldschmidt strikes out 40% of the time against it across 30 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.