EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Jose Altuve is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Mahle throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Tyler Mahle throws it 29% of the time, and Jose Altuve strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
514888
player name
Jose Altuve
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
pitcher name
Tyler Mahle
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.283
own baseline
0.2
k delta
0.083
weighted avg
0.253
mix covered
0.93
detail
Jose Altuve is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Mahle throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Tyler Mahle throws it 29% of the time, and Jose Altuve strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.