EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

Travis d'Arnaud is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kade Anderson throws it 40% of the time, and Travis d'Arnaud strikes out 42% of the time against it across 24 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Monday, September 14, 2026

Travis d'Arnaud is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kade Anderson throws it 40% of the time, and Travis d'Arnaud strikes out 42% of the time against it across 24 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Travis d'Arnaud Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
518595
player name
Travis d'Arnaud
team
Los Angeles Angels
matchup
Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels
pitcher name
Kade Anderson
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.391
own baseline
0.301
k delta
0.09
weighted avg
0.16
mix covered
0.576
detail
Travis d'Arnaud is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Kade Anderson throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kade Anderson throws it 40% of the time, and Travis d'Arnaud strikes out 42% of the time against it across 24 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.