EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Freddie Freeman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 24% of the time against the kind of pitches Chase Burns throws, compared with 16% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chase Burns throws it 39% of the time, and Freddie Freeman strikes out 30% of the time against it across 70 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Freddie Freeman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 24% of the time against the kind of pitches Chase Burns throws, compared with 16% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chase Burns throws it 39% of the time, and Freddie Freeman strikes out 30% of the time against it across 70 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
518692
player name
Freddie Freeman
team
Los Angeles Dodgers
matchup
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
pitcher name
Chase Burns
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.239
own baseline
0.164
k delta
0.075
weighted avg
0.266
mix covered
0.944
detail
Freddie Freeman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 24% of the time against the kind of pitches Chase Burns throws, compared with 16% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chase Burns throws it 39% of the time, and Freddie Freeman strikes out 30% of the time against it across 70 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.