EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+6 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Freddie Freeman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Sale throws, compared with 17% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chris Sale throws it 40% of the time, and Freddie Freeman strikes out 28% of the time against it across 85 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
518692
player name
Freddie Freeman
team
Los Angeles Dodgers
matchup
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
pitcher name
Chris Sale
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.232
own baseline
0.173
k delta
0.059
weighted avg
0.251
mix covered
0.916
detail
Freddie Freeman is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Sale throws, compared with 17% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chris Sale throws it 40% of the time, and Freddie Freeman strikes out 28% of the time against it across 85 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.