EDGEAI
-10 pts
James McCann is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Aaron Nola throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Aaron Nola throws it 19% of the time, and James McCann strikes out 0% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 59% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Monday, August 31, 2026
James McCann is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Aaron Nola throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Aaron Nola throws it 19% of the time, and James McCann strikes out 0% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 59% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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