EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-5 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Xander Bogaerts is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 5 points better. The reason is the cutter: Dustin May throws it 24% of the time, and Xander Bogaerts strikes out 11% of the time against it across 46 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
593428
player name
Xander Bogaerts
team
San Diego Padres
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
pitcher name
Dustin May
direction
comfortable
headline
-5 pts
weighted krate
0.125
own baseline
0.179
k delta
-0.054
weighted avg
0.272
mix covered
0.863
detail
Xander Bogaerts is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 5 points better. The reason is the cutter: Dustin May throws it 24% of the time, and Xander Bogaerts strikes out 11% of the time against it across 46 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.