EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Trevor Story is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches MacKenzie Gore throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: MacKenzie Gore throws it 47% of the time, and Trevor Story strikes out 43% of the time against it across 56 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 78% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Trevor Story Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
596115
player name
Trevor Story
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers
pitcher name
MacKenzie Gore
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.43
own baseline
0.317
k delta
0.113
weighted avg
0.234
mix covered
0.782
detail
Trevor Story is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches MacKenzie Gore throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: MacKenzie Gore throws it 47% of the time, and Trevor Story strikes out 43% of the time against it across 56 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 78% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.