EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-9 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Trevor Story is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Trevor Story strikes out 15% of the time against it across 40 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
596115
player name
Trevor Story
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Clay Holmes
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.229
own baseline
0.322
k delta
-0.093
weighted avg
0.259
mix covered
0.918
detail
Trevor Story is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 23% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Trevor Story strikes out 15% of the time against it across 40 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.