EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-13 pts

Garrett Stubbs is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 7% of the time against the kind of pitches Hunter Brown throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Hunter Brown throws it 32% of the time, and Garrett Stubbs strikes out 6% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 62% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Garrett Stubbs is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 7% of the time against the kind of pitches Hunter Brown throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Hunter Brown throws it 32% of the time, and Garrett Stubbs strikes out 6% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 62% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
596117
player name
Garrett Stubbs
team
Philadelphia Phillies
matchup
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
pitcher name
Hunter Brown
direction
comfortable
headline
-13 pts
weighted krate
0.065
own baseline
0.196
k delta
-0.131
weighted avg
0.04
mix covered
0.619
detail
Garrett Stubbs is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 7% of the time against the kind of pitches Hunter Brown throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Hunter Brown throws it 32% of the time, and Garrett Stubbs strikes out 6% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 62% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.