EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+10 pts

Ramón Urías is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Ramón Urías strikes out 50% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

Ramón Urías is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Ramón Urías strikes out 50% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Ramón Urías Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
602104
player name
Ramón Urías
team
St. Louis Cardinals
matchup
St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies
pitcher name
Tanner Gordon
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.277
own baseline
0.178
k delta
0.099
weighted avg
0.136
mix covered
0.885
detail
Ramón Urías is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Tanner Gordon throws it 22% of the time, and Ramón Urías strikes out 50% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.