EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Friday, September 25, 2026
Corey Seager is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Joe Ryan throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the knuckle curve: Joe Ryan throws it 11% of the time, and Corey Seager strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Corey Seager Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
608369
player name
Corey Seager
team
Texas Rangers
matchup
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
pitcher name
Joe Ryan
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.318
own baseline
0.234
k delta
0.084
weighted avg
0.191
mix covered
0.835
detail
Corey Seager is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Joe Ryan throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the knuckle curve: Joe Ryan throws it 11% of the time, and Corey Seager strikes out 46% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.