EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

Michael Conforto is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Rhett Lowder throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Rhett Lowder throws it 29% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 10% of the time against it across 29 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, August 28, 2026

Michael Conforto is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Rhett Lowder throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Rhett Lowder throws it 29% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 10% of the time against it across 29 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
624424
player name
Michael Conforto
team
Chicago Cubs
matchup
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Rhett Lowder
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.205
own baseline
0.29
k delta
-0.085
weighted avg
0.339
mix covered
0.974
detail
Michael Conforto is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Rhett Lowder throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Rhett Lowder throws it 29% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 10% of the time against it across 29 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.