EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+13 pts

Michael Conforto is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Phillips throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Tyler Phillips throws it 24% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 75% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

Michael Conforto is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Phillips throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Tyler Phillips throws it 24% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 75% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Michael Conforto Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
624424
player name
Michael Conforto
team
Chicago Cubs
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Tyler Phillips
direction
vulnerable
headline
+13 pts
weighted krate
0.42
own baseline
0.287
k delta
0.133
weighted avg
0.14
mix covered
0.906
detail
Michael Conforto is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Phillips throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Tyler Phillips throws it 24% of the time, and Michael Conforto strikes out 75% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.