EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+14 pts

Jose Trevino is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Jose Trevino strikes out 32% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

Jose Trevino is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Jose Trevino strikes out 32% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jose Trevino Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
624431
player name
Jose Trevino
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Kyle Harrison
direction
vulnerable
headline
+14 pts
weighted krate
0.32
own baseline
0.177
k delta
0.143
weighted avg
0.261
mix covered
0.575
detail
Jose Trevino is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 32% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Jose Trevino strikes out 32% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.