EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+7 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

Jose Trevino is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 26% of the time against the kind of pitches Trey Yesavage throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Trey Yesavage throws it 47% of the time, and Jose Trevino strikes out 33% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 71% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jose Trevino Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
624431
player name
Jose Trevino
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
pitcher name
Trey Yesavage
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.258
own baseline
0.184
k delta
0.074
weighted avg
0.235
mix covered
0.712
detail
Jose Trevino is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 26% of the time against the kind of pitches Trey Yesavage throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Trey Yesavage throws it 47% of the time, and Jose Trevino strikes out 33% of the time against it across 33 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 71% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.