EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+7 pts

Ryan McMahon is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 38% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Mason Fluharty throws it 41% of the time, and Ryan McMahon strikes out 61% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, August 21, 2026

Ryan McMahon is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 38% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Mason Fluharty throws it 41% of the time, and Ryan McMahon strikes out 61% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
641857
player name
Ryan McMahon
team
New York Yankees
matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
pitcher name
Mason Fluharty
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.375
own baseline
0.301
k delta
0.074
weighted avg
0.188
mix covered
0.904
detail
Ryan McMahon is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 38% of the time against the kind of pitches Mason Fluharty throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Mason Fluharty throws it 41% of the time, and Ryan McMahon strikes out 61% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.