EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-9 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Ryan McMahon is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 24% of the time, and Ryan McMahon strikes out 18% of the time against it across 44 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
641857
player name
Ryan McMahon
team
New York Yankees
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.206
own baseline
0.292
k delta
-0.086
weighted avg
0.266
mix covered
0.879
detail
Ryan McMahon is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 24% of the time, and Ryan McMahon strikes out 18% of the time against it across 44 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.