EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+7 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Thursday, September 24, 2026
Victor Robles is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 22% of the time against the kind of pitches Grayson Rodriguez throws, compared with 15% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Grayson Rodriguez throws it 26% of the time, and Victor Robles strikes out 38% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Victor Robles Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
645302
player name
Victor Robles
team
Seattle Mariners
matchup
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
pitcher name
Grayson Rodriguez
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.217
own baseline
0.148
k delta
0.069
weighted avg
0.281
mix covered
1
detail
Victor Robles is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 22% of the time against the kind of pitches Grayson Rodriguez throws, compared with 15% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Grayson Rodriguez throws it 26% of the time, and Victor Robles strikes out 38% of the time against it across 16 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.