EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Grant Holmes throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Grant Holmes throws it 37% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 66% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Grant Holmes throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Grant Holmes throws it 37% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 66% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Bryan De La Cruz Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
650559
player name
Bryan De La Cruz
team
Philadelphia Phillies
matchup
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
pitcher name
Grant Holmes
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.29
own baseline
0.228
k delta
0.062
weighted avg
0.29
mix covered
0.659
detail
Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Grant Holmes throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Grant Holmes throws it 37% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 66% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.