EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Sale throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chris Sale throws it 40% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, September 11, 2026

Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Sale throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chris Sale throws it 40% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Bryan De La Cruz Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
650559
player name
Bryan De La Cruz
team
Philadelphia Phillies
matchup
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
pitcher name
Chris Sale
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.287
own baseline
0.228
k delta
0.059
weighted avg
0.307
mix covered
0.807
detail
Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Sale throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Chris Sale throws it 40% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 31% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.