EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Logan Henderson throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Logan Henderson throws it 35% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 33% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Bryan De La Cruz Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
650559
player name
Bryan De La Cruz
team
Philadelphia Phillies
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
pitcher name
Logan Henderson
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.299
own baseline
0.216
k delta
0.083
weighted avg
0.266
mix covered
0.811
detail
Bryan De La Cruz is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 30% of the time against the kind of pitches Logan Henderson throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Logan Henderson throws it 35% of the time, and Bryan De La Cruz strikes out 33% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.