EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-6 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Kyle Schwarber is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 27% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the sinker: Dustin May throws it 19% of the time, and Kyle Schwarber strikes out 15% of the time against it across 103 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
656941
player name
Kyle Schwarber
team
Philadelphia Phillies
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
pitcher name
Dustin May
direction
comfortable
headline
-6 pts
weighted krate
0.269
own baseline
0.327
k delta
-0.058
weighted avg
0.26
mix covered
0.862
detail
Kyle Schwarber is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 27% of the time against the kind of pitches Dustin May throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the sinker: Dustin May throws it 19% of the time, and Kyle Schwarber strikes out 15% of the time against it across 103 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.