EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-9 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Thursday, September 24, 2026

Pavin Smith is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Tanner Gordon throws it 43% of the time, and Pavin Smith strikes out 14% of the time against it across 37 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 65% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
656976
player name
Pavin Smith
team
Arizona Diamondbacks
matchup
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
pitcher name
Tanner Gordon
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.117
own baseline
0.204
k delta
-0.087
weighted avg
0.153
mix covered
0.648
detail
Pavin Smith is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Tanner Gordon throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the four-seam fb: Tanner Gordon throws it 43% of the time, and Pavin Smith strikes out 14% of the time against it across 37 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 65% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.