EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+10 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Connor Wong is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Ian Seymour throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Ian Seymour throws it 29% of the time, and Connor Wong strikes out 53% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Connor Wong Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
657136
player name
Connor Wong
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Ian Seymour
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.343
own baseline
0.24
k delta
0.103
weighted avg
0.222
mix covered
0.924
detail
Connor Wong is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Ian Seymour throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Ian Seymour throws it 29% of the time, and Connor Wong strikes out 53% of the time against it across 17 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.