EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

Jahmai Jones is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Blade Tidwell throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Blade Tidwell throws it 37% of the time, and Jahmai Jones strikes out 63% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Saturday, August 22, 2026

Jahmai Jones is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Blade Tidwell throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Blade Tidwell throws it 37% of the time, and Jahmai Jones strikes out 63% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jahmai Jones Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
663330
player name
Jahmai Jones
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Blade Tidwell
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.432
own baseline
0.321
k delta
0.111
weighted avg
0.183
mix covered
0.93
detail
Jahmai Jones is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Blade Tidwell throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Blade Tidwell throws it 37% of the time, and Jahmai Jones strikes out 63% of the time against it across 8 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.