EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Saturday, October 3, 2026
Brandon Lockridge is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Robbie Ray throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Robbie Ray throws it 31% of the time, and Brandon Lockridge strikes out 52% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Brandon Lockridge Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
663604
player name
Brandon Lockridge
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
pitcher name
Robbie Ray
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.369
own baseline
0.292
k delta
0.077
weighted avg
0.215
mix covered
0.884
detail
Brandon Lockridge is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Robbie Ray throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Robbie Ray throws it 31% of the time, and Brandon Lockridge strikes out 52% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.