EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Brandon Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Brandon Lowe strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, September 11, 2026

Brandon Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Brandon Lowe strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
664040
player name
Brandon Lowe
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Shota Imanaga
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.366
own baseline
0.288
k delta
0.078
weighted avg
0.206
mix covered
0.892
detail
Brandon Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 29% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Brandon Lowe strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.