EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

Myles Straw is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Lopez throws, compared with 14% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jacob Lopez throws it 34% of the time, and Myles Straw strikes out 32% of the time against it across 34 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Myles Straw is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Lopez throws, compared with 14% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jacob Lopez throws it 34% of the time, and Myles Straw strikes out 32% of the time against it across 34 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Myles Straw Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
664702
player name
Myles Straw
team
Toronto Blue Jays
matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
pitcher name
Jacob Lopez
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.193
own baseline
0.136
k delta
0.057
weighted avg
0.216
mix covered
0.879
detail
Myles Straw is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 19% of the time against the kind of pitches Jacob Lopez throws, compared with 14% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jacob Lopez throws it 34% of the time, and Myles Straw strikes out 32% of the time against it across 34 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.