EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

LaMonte Wade Jr. is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Jack Perkins throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Jack Perkins throws it 19% of the time, and LaMonte Wade Jr. strikes out 50% of the time against it across 18 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
664774
player name
LaMonte Wade Jr.
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Houston Astros @ Athletics
pitcher name
Jack Perkins
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.332
own baseline
0.245
k delta
0.087
weighted avg
0.216
mix covered
0.918
detail
LaMonte Wade Jr. is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Jack Perkins throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the changeup: Jack Perkins throws it 19% of the time, and LaMonte Wade Jr. strikes out 50% of the time against it across 18 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.