EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-13 pts

Griffin Conine is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 22% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 4% of the time against it across 27 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Griffin Conine is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 22% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 4% of the time against it across 27 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
665052
player name
Griffin Conine
team
Miami Marlins
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
comfortable
headline
-13 pts
weighted krate
0.173
own baseline
0.303
k delta
-0.13
weighted avg
0.322
mix covered
0.876
detail
Griffin Conine is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 22% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 4% of the time against it across 27 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.