EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+14 pts

Griffin Conine is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 45% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 56% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, September 4, 2026

Griffin Conine is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 45% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 56% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Griffin Conine Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
665052
player name
Griffin Conine
team
Miami Marlins
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins
pitcher name
Shota Imanaga
direction
vulnerable
headline
+14 pts
weighted krate
0.446
own baseline
0.311
k delta
0.135
weighted avg
0.187
mix covered
0.891
detail
Griffin Conine is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 45% of the time against the kind of pitches Shota Imanaga throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the splitter: Shota Imanaga throws it 33% of the time, and Griffin Conine strikes out 56% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.