EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-10 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Sunday, September 20, 2026
Jeremy Peña is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Martín Pérez throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Martín Pérez throws it 35% of the time, and Jeremy Peña strikes out 5% of the time against it across 97 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
665161
player name
Jeremy Peña
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
pitcher name
Martín Pérez
direction
comfortable
headline
-10 pts
weighted krate
0.139
own baseline
0.235
k delta
-0.096
weighted avg
0.252
mix covered
0.879
detail
Jeremy Peña is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Martín Pérez throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Martín Pérez throws it 35% of the time, and Jeremy Peña strikes out 5% of the time against it across 97 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.