EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-10 pts

Carlos Narváez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 22% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Martinez throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nick Martinez throws it 31% of the time, and Carlos Narváez strikes out 9% of the time against it across 45 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Sunday, August 23, 2026

Carlos Narváez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 22% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Martinez throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nick Martinez throws it 31% of the time, and Carlos Narváez strikes out 9% of the time against it across 45 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
665966
player name
Carlos Narváez
team
Baltimore Orioles
matchup
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
pitcher name
Nick Martinez
direction
comfortable
headline
-10 pts
weighted krate
0.224
own baseline
0.326
k delta
-0.102
weighted avg
0.222
mix covered
0.911
detail
Carlos Narváez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 22% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Martinez throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nick Martinez throws it 31% of the time, and Carlos Narváez strikes out 9% of the time against it across 45 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.