EDGEAI
-8 pts
Carlos Narváez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 24% of the time against the kind of pitches Spencer Miles throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Spencer Miles throws it 44% of the time, and Carlos Narváez strikes out 11% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 75% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Saturday, September 12, 2026
Carlos Narváez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 24% of the time against the kind of pitches Spencer Miles throws, compared with 32% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Spencer Miles throws it 44% of the time, and Carlos Narváez strikes out 11% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 75% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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