EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-6 pts

Freddy Fermin is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the curveball: Jake Irvin throws it 23% of the time, and Freddy Fermin strikes out 10% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Freddy Fermin is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the curveball: Jake Irvin throws it 23% of the time, and Freddy Fermin strikes out 10% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
666023
player name
Freddy Fermin
team
San Diego Padres
matchup
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
pitcher name
Jake Irvin
direction
comfortable
headline
-6 pts
weighted krate
0.133
own baseline
0.198
k delta
-0.065
weighted avg
0.179
mix covered
0.825
detail
Freddy Fermin is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Jake Irvin throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the curveball: Jake Irvin throws it 23% of the time, and Freddy Fermin strikes out 10% of the time against it across 10 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.