EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Josh Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Josh Lowe strikes out 45% of the time against it across 31 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, September 4, 2026

Josh Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Josh Lowe strikes out 45% of the time against it across 31 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Josh Lowe Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
666139
player name
Josh Lowe
team
Los Angeles Angels
matchup
Los Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Jared Jones
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.368
own baseline
0.284
k delta
0.084
weighted avg
0.214
mix covered
0.924
detail
Josh Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 37% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Josh Lowe strikes out 45% of the time against it across 31 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.