EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+9 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Sunday, September 27, 2026
Josh Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Logan Gilbert throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the slider: Logan Gilbert throws it 25% of the time, and Josh Lowe strikes out 49% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Josh Lowe Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
666139
player name
Josh Lowe
team
Los Angeles Angels
matchup
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
pitcher name
Logan Gilbert
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.393
own baseline
0.303
k delta
0.09
weighted avg
0.225
mix covered
0.801
detail
Josh Lowe is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 39% of the time against the kind of pitches Logan Gilbert throws, compared with 30% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the slider: Logan Gilbert throws it 25% of the time, and Josh Lowe strikes out 49% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.