EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+10 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026
David Hamilton is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 31% of the time against the kind of pitches Lake Bachar throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Lake Bachar throws it 19% of the time, and David Hamilton strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
David Hamilton Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
666152
player name
David Hamilton
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Lake Bachar
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.313
own baseline
0.216
k delta
0.097
weighted avg
0.198
mix covered
0.874
detail
David Hamilton is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 31% of the time against the kind of pitches Lake Bachar throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Lake Bachar throws it 19% of the time, and David Hamilton strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.