EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+5 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Wednesday, October 14, 2026
David Hamilton is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Blake Snell throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Blake Snell throws it 22% of the time, and David Hamilton strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
David Hamilton Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
666152
player name
David Hamilton
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers
pitcher name
Blake Snell
direction
vulnerable
headline
+5 pts
weighted krate
0.276
own baseline
0.223
k delta
0.053
weighted avg
0.247
mix covered
1
detail
David Hamilton is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Blake Snell throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 5 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Blake Snell throws it 22% of the time, and David Hamilton strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.