EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-6 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Jo Adell is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 18% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 24% of the time, and Jo Adell strikes out 12% of the time against it across 133 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
666176
player name
Jo Adell
team
Cleveland Guardians
matchup
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox
pitcher name
Payton Tolle
direction
comfortable
headline
-6 pts
weighted krate
0.183
own baseline
0.244
k delta
-0.061
weighted avg
0.25
mix covered
0.877
detail
Jo Adell is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 18% of the time against the kind of pitches Payton Tolle throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the sinker: Payton Tolle throws it 24% of the time, and Jo Adell strikes out 12% of the time against it across 133 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.