EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Bo Naylor is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Aaron Nola throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Aaron Nola throws it 18% of the time, and Bo Naylor strikes out 8% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
666310
player name
Bo Naylor
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
pitcher name
Aaron Nola
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.152
own baseline
0.235
k delta
-0.083
weighted avg
0.209
mix covered
0.584
detail
Bo Naylor is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Aaron Nola throws, compared with 24% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Aaron Nola throws it 18% of the time, and Bo Naylor strikes out 8% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 58% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.