EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-12 pts

Jake Rogers is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Nolan McLean throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 12 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nolan McLean throws it 33% of the time, and Jake Rogers strikes out 11% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Sunday, August 23, 2026

Jake Rogers is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Nolan McLean throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 12 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nolan McLean throws it 33% of the time, and Jake Rogers strikes out 11% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
668670
player name
Jake Rogers
team
Chicago White Sox
matchup
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
pitcher name
Nolan McLean
direction
comfortable
headline
-12 pts
weighted krate
0.167
own baseline
0.284
k delta
-0.117
weighted avg
0.222
mix covered
0.766
detail
Jake Rogers is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 17% of the time against the kind of pitches Nolan McLean throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 12 points better. The reason is the sinker: Nolan McLean throws it 33% of the time, and Jake Rogers strikes out 11% of the time against it across 28 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 77% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.