EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+7 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Friday, September 18, 2026
Samad Taylor is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Phillips throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Tyler Phillips throws it 24% of the time, and Samad Taylor strikes out 56% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
669392
player name
Samad Taylor
team
San Diego Padres
matchup
Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres
pitcher name
Tyler Phillips
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.356
own baseline
0.284
k delta
0.072
weighted avg
0.196
mix covered
0.906
detail
Samad Taylor is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Tyler Phillips throws, compared with 28% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Tyler Phillips throws it 24% of the time, and Samad Taylor strikes out 56% of the time against it across 9 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.