EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+8 pts

Nick Allen is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Gerrit Cole throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Gerrit Cole throws it 49% of the time, and Nick Allen strikes out 30% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Thursday, August 27, 2026

Nick Allen is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Gerrit Cole throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Gerrit Cole throws it 49% of the time, and Nick Allen strikes out 30% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Nick Allen Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
669397
player name
Nick Allen
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
pitcher name
Gerrit Cole
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.282
own baseline
0.2
k delta
0.082
weighted avg
0.215
mix covered
0.83
detail
Nick Allen is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 28% of the time against the kind of pitches Gerrit Cole throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Gerrit Cole throws it 49% of the time, and Nick Allen strikes out 30% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.