EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-11 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Sunday, September 20, 2026
Nick Allen is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 9% of the time against the kind of pitches Martín Pérez throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Martín Pérez throws it 35% of the time, and Nick Allen strikes out 0% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
669397
player name
Nick Allen
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
pitcher name
Martín Pérez
direction
comfortable
headline
-11 pts
weighted krate
0.085
own baseline
0.196
k delta
-0.111
weighted avg
0.317
mix covered
0.879
detail
Nick Allen is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 9% of the time against the kind of pitches Martín Pérez throws, compared with 20% against everyone else — 11 points better. The reason is the sinker: Martín Pérez throws it 35% of the time, and Nick Allen strikes out 0% of the time against it across 35 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.