EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-9 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Saturday, September 19, 2026
Josh Smith is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Cal Quantrill throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the splitter: Cal Quantrill throws it 23% of the time, and Josh Smith strikes out 8% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
669701
player name
Josh Smith
team
Toronto Blue Jays
matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers
pitcher name
Cal Quantrill
direction
comfortable
headline
-9 pts
weighted krate
0.134
own baseline
0.22
k delta
-0.086
weighted avg
0.261
mix covered
0.92
detail
Josh Smith is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 13% of the time against the kind of pitches Cal Quantrill throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 9 points better. The reason is the splitter: Cal Quantrill throws it 23% of the time, and Josh Smith strikes out 8% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.